Here’s a Retail Trend That Isn’t All About Amazon

DAVID MARINO-NACHISON | September 17, 2018

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A drop-off in retail startup deals could boost pricing power for retailers though it’s unclear how long that might last.That’s the theory of Nomura Instinet analyst Simeon Siegel, who on Monday suggested that retailers who’ve lately seen revenue and profit growth might need to attribute some of that to startup investors’ reduced appetite for growth-at-all-costs competitors.“Despite the recurring rhetoric of ‘ Amazon.com(AMZN), Breaker of Retail,’ we believe the mall’s true havoc-wreaker was the ceaseless launch of startups,” Siegel wrote. “As venture capital flowed, anyone with a website and sewing machine could create a sweater company.” Siegel examined the rise in retail-related VC deals over the past decade—a number that, according to his analysis, peaked in 2015 and has fallen since. (The remaining deals, he noted, are for more money, perhaps a sign that they’re now backing “sustainable and profitable” entrants.)

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